Articles

July 27, 2025

New Forces

Luis Rubio “Trump has no idea what forces he has unleashed,” says Edward Luce, describing the series of erratic moves that have characterized the American president in his first months in office, generating brutal reactions, both politically and in the financial markets. I believe there are two ways to interpret this statement: one is that […]

July 20, 2025

False Dilemmas

Luis Rubio Public debate in Mexico has veered into a dead end. For some, the transition to democracy ended with the recent flurry of constitutional amendments passed hastily and without serious analysis of their implications. For others—especially the President—it’s all just noise, a storm in a teacup. Unfortunately, both sides are partly right, largely because […]

July 13, 2025

Consequences

Luis Rubio The cult of the state and the allure for public spending as an instrument involve a deeply seductive feeling. Who better than “the State” to solve problems, plan for the future, and serve the citizenry? That production should happen in Mexico; that nothing should be imported—even what isn’t produced or can’t be produced […]

July 09, 2025

Sheinbaum is facing Trump without a compass

Mexico’s Foreign PolicyMexico’s PoliticsMexico and Trump9 Julby Luis Rubio. Editor’s note: Mr. Rubio is a political analyst and Chairman of México Evalúa. — Trump sees no need to adhere to the traditional forms and rules of diplomacy. His “mandate” is clear, and he assumes it as absolute truth. If one adds to that his tactical way […]

July 06, 2025

The Institution

Luis Rubio How can one explain 20th-century Mexico? The century began with a government that had lasted nearly three decades and ended with a democratic election. The country experienced a bloody revolution that left over a million dead; following the civil war came the Cristero War; the beginnings of a political reorganization; economic growth, the […]

June 29, 2025

Change of Direction

Luis Rubio “To see what is in front of one’s nose needs a constant struggle,” wrote George Orwell. He wasn’t talking about everyday life, but about the world of politics, where, he continued, “it is quite easy for the part to be perceived as greater than the whole, or for two objects to be in […]

June 22, 2025

Disorder

Luis Rubio Disruption and disorder are distinct phenomena that at times combine and reinforce each other. Disorder, according to the dictionary, is often a sustained abnormal state of functioning. Disruption, on the other hand, can be intentional, provoked to advance processes of change and transformation. In both cases, the impact on the population is always […]

June 16, 2025

Claudia Sheinbaum faces adversity

Mexico’s Politics – 15 JunTHE MEXICO BRIEF by Luis Rubio. Editor’s note: Mr. Rubio as a political analyst and chairman of México Evalua. From the moment she was nominated as Morena’s presidential candidate, speculation arose regarding her capacity and willingness to break with her predecessor, as has been the tradition in Mexican politics. Although speculation […]

June 15, 2025

Cold Blood

Luis Rubio The only thing that doesn’t seem to be in short supply in the world these days—especially in public debate—is speculation about what Trump is trying to achieve with his tariffs, rhetoric, and the changes he’s making to both the structure of his government and the architecture of the global order. The whirlwind of […]

June 08, 2025

Shot in the Foot

Luis Rubio In the bleak early days of 1995, when the Mexican economy was shaken by uncertainty following a sharp devaluation and a crisis triggered by a government-issued debt instrument denominated in dollars, the world’s financial and political leaders debated what had gone wrong in Mexico. Just a few months earlier, Mexico had achieved a […]

June 01, 2025

Leadership

Luis Rubio All presidents begin their six-year term confident that they will transform the country (or, in this case, continue an alleged transformation) and lay the foundations for a great future. Sooner or later, almost all of them end up facing the sad reality that their mistakes outweighed their achievements and that their ambitions did […]

May 30, 2025

Three points on Mexico’s judicial vote

by Luis Rubio. Mexico’s judicial reform reaches its critical moment this coming Sunday. After the constitutional reform was approved last September, this Sunday citizens will vote for judges, magistrates, and justices of the Supreme Court of Justice. There is no precedent in the world (with the small exception of Bolivia) where a country has undertaken […]